Comprehensive Brent Oil for November 9, 2023
In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the BRENT OIL for 9th November 2023.
Key Takeaways
- Global economic downturn: The overseas economic recovery is less than expected. For example, the U.S. unemployment rate has exceeded expectations in the past two months, and the new orders index has accelerated its contraction. This has led to doubts about the future demand for crude oil, and oil prices have followed the trend to chart the gains driven by early risk aversion.
- The balance between S/D supports oil prices: The overall supply side of crude oil has not yet shown signs of tightening. In the long term, the supply and demand pattern is relatively loose, but in the short term there may be production cuts on the supply side, and there may be some support for prices.
Brent Oil Technical Analysis
Brent Oil Daily Chart Insights
- Stochastic Oscillator: The indicator has entered the oversold range, and the selling pressure is serious. You need to be alert to the coming of a short-term intraday rebound in the market.
- Moving average: After the 5-day moving average completely fell below the 200-day moving average, the market did not show an effective rebound structure, and the two consecutive days of decline may take some time to correct. The rebound target price is looking towards the 5-day moving average.
- Downward channel line: Since crude oil began to fall on September 27, the overall market trend has formed a downward channel line. Yesterday’s decline touched the lower edge of the channel line, and there is a certain probability of a rebound in the short term.
Brent Oil 1-hour Chart Analysis
- Stochastic oscillator: The indicator has sent a long signal, and oil prices have a certain rebound momentum. However, oil prices cannot rebound lightly until they break through the 81.316 level.
- Price Action: Oil prices are currently in a strong downward trend, and you cannot arbitrarily choose to enter the market at the bottom. Although the current indicators are suggesting that a rebound is imminent, we need to wait for a clear bullish structure before making a correction.
Ultima Markets MT4 Pivot Indicator
- According to the pivot indicator in Ultima Markets MT4, the central price of the day is established at 81.178,
- Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 81.178, first target 82.268, second target 83.852;
- Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 81.178, first target 79.594, second target 78.519.
Bottom Line