套息交易机会仍存，澳日短期反弹 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 3月 1日澳元兑日元的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美国通胀喜忧参半：美国1月核心PCE物价指数年率公布录得2021年3月以来最低增幅 ，但月率却录得0.4%，创2023年2月以来最大增幅。 
• 套息交易：过去几周，主要经济体的经济数据出人意料地呈现上行趋势。乐观情绪或将利于澳元兑日元的套息交易，短期日元仍有贬值压力。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（澳元兑日元日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在本周发出空头信号后平滑下行，澳元兑日元同样持续贬值，暗示当前下跌趋势或将强烈。由于即将接近50中位线，警惕汇价迎来反弹。 
• 支撑位：汇价下方是黑色65日均线和上行趋势线联合组成的支撑线，汇价在该价位附近或将受阻反弹。 

1小时图表分析 

（澳元兑日元1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标昨日发出上涨信号，由于价格存在底背离形态，因此短期多头或将占据上风，同时上涨幅度可能不小。 
• 均线压制：汇价在周一跌破黑色65周期均线后回踩继续下跌，暗示了65周期均线或将成为整个下跌趋势的关键阻力。关注亚盘时段，汇价在触及65周期均线后是否有盘整迹象。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（澳元兑日元30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位97.24， 
• 97.24之上看涨，第一目标97.74，第二目标97.86 
• 97.24之下看跌，第一目标97.04，第二目标96.92 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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