通胀数据不定，欧元方向不明 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 3月 12日欧元兑美元的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美国CPI存疑问：今日美国公布2月末CPI数据，这是美联储3月利率决议前最后一个通胀数据。此前整体CPI数据始终保持在3%，核心CPI则接近4%。若本周CPI数据出现意外上涨，则6月降息预期仍将打上问号。 
• 欧元或转向：此前市场预期欧央行宽松政策将晚于美联储，但是在近期欧央行管委鸽派的发言和疲软的经济数据公布后，市场预期欧央行和美联储或都将在6月进行降息，欧元的贬值压力开始上涨。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（欧元兑美元日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标昨日在超买区域发出下跌信号，暗示空头力量短期占据上风。不过需要等待汇价进一步跌破昨日低点后才可关注做空机会。 
• 均线支撑：红色7日短期均线目前仍然支撑行情继续上涨，在汇价尚未跌破该均线支撑前不能轻易判断欧元进入贬值趋势。 

1小时图表分析 

（欧元兑美元1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 均线支撑：红色7日均线仍然保持在黑色65周期均线上方，暗示当前空头趋势仍为明确到来。汇价在此前黑色均线支撑下上涨，关注今日在均线附近表现。 
• 筑顶结构：欧元在本周运行了一个疑似头肩顶的筑顶结构，随机指标也在顶部出现背离结构。因此汇价若今日明确跌破颈线支撑，则欧元或将明确进入下跌趋势。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（欧元兑美元30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位1.0945， 
• 1.0945之上看涨，第一目标1.0960，第二目标1.0980 
• 1.0945之下看跌，第一目标1.0915，第二目标1.0900 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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