美联储利率路径是关键，比特币存反弹希望 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 3月 20日的比特币深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美联储鹰派政策影响：随着美联储将大幅放松政策的预期消退，市场重点关注明日凌晨公布的经济预测。若点阵图显示政策将进一步减少降息，美元指数或迎来大幅上涨。 
• 比特币受政策影响：BTCUSD是以美元计价，而以美元计价的资产与美元天然具有负相关性，因此美联储的货币政策预期一定程度上会影响比特币价格变化。若今夜美联储没有释放鹰派信号，则比特币或反弹上行希望。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（比特币的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：3月中旬指标发出空头信号后，快线和慢线昨日均跌破50中位线，暗示空头短期占据上风。 
• 支撑价位：市价目前接近红色33日均线，该价位也是前期另类趋势线的支撑价位一带。警惕比特币在近期开启反弹趋势，若无法突破前高则或完成头肩顶筑顶形态后，继续下跌进行深度调整。 

1小时图表分析 

（比特币的1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标超卖区域有纠缠震荡迹象，或将发出多头信号，暗示比特币下跌调整短期即将结束，等待信号明确后关注做多机会。 
• 下行通道线：市价即将接近下行通道线下沿，该价位同时也是200周期均线一带，价格大概率将迎来反弹上行趋势。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（比特币的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位62760， 
• 62760之上看涨，第一目标65620，第二目标66330 
• 62760之下看跌，第一目标61580，第二目标60870 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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