非农来临日元压力大增，152保卫战即将开打 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 4月 5日的美元兑日元深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 152保卫战：市场认为152整数关口是日本官员可能会干预汇市的关键水平。如果美元兑日元慢慢升破152，官员们或许不会做出反应。但如果从152大幅上涨到154或155，他们可能会有反应。 
• 关键的劳工数据：今日美国公布最新的非农就业人数。疲软的就业数据将带动通胀预期下行，进而推动美元走弱。美元兑日元能否摆脱震荡区间，就看今日非农数据。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析 

（美元兑日元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：快线与慢线指标在超买区域纠缠近8个交易日后，今日疑似即将发出空头信号，不过在完全脱离超买区域前不能随意看空。 
• 震荡区域：152整数关口是美元兑日元极其关键的阻力价位，下方则是另类趋势线的潜在支撑价位。汇价任一方向的突破都值得关注对应的交易机会，但基于汇价前期涨势过猛，需要优先警惕向上假突破的概率。 

4小时图表分析 

（美元兑日元的4小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 均线走平：汇价在高位震荡近2周后，红色33周期均线仍然未下穿黑色65周期均线，相反正处于水平横向走势的形态。这意味着场内多头仍然聚集能量，在没有明确形态出现前，汇价方向不明确。 
• 震荡区间：美元兑日元价格目前形成震荡区间，高点看向152整数关口，下沿则看向151整数关口。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（美元兑日元的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位151.65， 
• 151.65之上看涨，第一目标152.06，第二目标152.30 
• 151.65之下看跌，第一目标150.63，第二目标150.39 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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