澳联储登场，澳元升值就在一念间 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 5月 7日的澳元兑美元深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 澳联储登场：今日澳联储将公布最新利率决议，市场预计其将继续按兵不动。澳大利亚劳动力市场的强劲和第一季度CPI、PPI数据均高于预期，暗示澳大利亚通胀依旧顽固。因此本次澳联储态度依旧以中性为主。 
• FOMC委员讲话：纽约联储主席威廉姆斯表示，美联储最终将会降息，但取决于数据；里士满联储主席巴尔金则认为，加息的全面影响尚未完全显现，相信当前限制性利率水平足以抑制需求。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

• 随机震荡指标：指标进入超买区域暗示当前多头短期占据上风，在没有发出空头信号前不能盲目做空。 
• 上方压制：汇价目前受阻于前期支撑阻力转换区域，同时也是4月以来上行通道的上沿。联合阻力的压制让汇价短期存在回调的概率。但若加速上破阻力，则上方空间打开，澳元将进一步升值。 

1小时图表分析 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在超买区域发出空头信号，形成顶背离形态。随后指标一路下行目前已经跌破50中位线。等待指标跌入超卖区域后再关注多头信号，否则即便汇价现在反弹仍然有继续调整的概率。 

• 另类趋势线：澳元兑美元近期的下跌趋势明显是个震荡形态，日内受阻于绿色另类趋势线和红色33周期均线。若继续下破则看向黑色65周期均线。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（澳元兑美元的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位0.6645， 
• 0.6645之上看涨，第一目标0.6667，第二目标0.6680 
• 0.6645之下看跌，第一目标0.6595，第二目标0.6582 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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