超跌铜价迎来反弹，宽松政策下铜价仍具动力 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 2月 13日的铜深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美国经济强劲：美国1月ISM服务业指数上升至53.4，创四个月新高，预期52。新订单和物价指数创将近一年新高。强劲的经济数据几乎消除了3月份降息的可能性，5月份降息的机会也有所减少，市场风险偏好下降。 
• 宽松政策下的铜价：在2024年各国货币政策转向宽松，并以推进经济为导向，铜作为经济建设不可或缺的大宗商品，需求的支撑将为铜价上涨做出一定的贡献。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（铜的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在超卖区域发出多头信号，暗示前期的下跌趋势或短期得到遏制，关注是否存在反弹的做多机会。 
• 裸K结构：昨日收盘价超过上周五的开盘价，最终组合形成看涨吞没裸K结构，暗示短期多头反攻力量强劲。但能否进一步转换成值得交易的趋势，需要关注上方上行趋势线的反应。 

1小时图表分析 

（铜的1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标仍然在超买区域震荡上行，暗示当前多头趋势仍处于末期阶段，目前做多风险较大，需要等待指标脱离超买区域后再关注交易机会。 
• 上行通道线：汇价形成W底筑底形态后突破绿色颈线，后续快速上涨突破上行通道线暗示当前大概率处于艾略特波浪理论的上升驱动浪3，关注回踩上行通道线后是否存在做多机会。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（铜的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位3.6995， 
• 3.6995之上看涨，第一目标3.7535，第二目标3.7690 
• 3.6995之下看跌，第一目标3.6730，第二目标3.6575 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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