铜多头趋势来临，或出于调整4浪 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 2月 20日铜的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 铜供应紧张：作为世界著名的大型矿业公司，必和必拓表示目前预计精炼铜出现短缺，2024年铜精矿供应将非常紧张。 
• 需求正在上涨：尽管美国1月通胀创四个月来最大涨幅，降息预期消退一度令金属价格承压，但是全球PMI回升指向消费改善，低位库存去化刺激工业金属价格向上。考虑到供应趋紧及消费改善双重驱动，铜价迎来喜人势头。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（铜日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：春节期间分享的铜趋势在本周迎来确认突破。指标在超卖区域发出多头信号后，铜价反弹势能或已变成反转上行。指标目前受阻于50中位线，铜价短期或将面临调整。 
• 均线的支撑：蓝色33日均线和黑色65日均线联合组成了强支撑位，铜价短期回调目标看向均线一带。 

1小时图表分析 

（铜1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 上行通道线：铜价自上周确认反弹趋势，形成上行通道线，昨日开始调整下跌至上行通道线附近，铜价存在一定的受阻可能。 
• 艾略特波浪理论：基于前期反弹的波浪结构来看，汇价目前或处于浪4调整中，关注下方斐波那契回撤位的38.2%。该区域也是黑色65周期均线一带。若继续下跌，跌破浪1终点3.7263一带，则铜价上涨趋势彻底终结。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（铜30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位3.8410， 
• 3.8410之上看涨，第一目标3.8685，第二目标3.8845 
• 3.8410之下看跌，第一目标3.7825，第二目标3.7665 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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