英镑回调是否到位，关键看这一价位 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 3月 13日英镑兑美元的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美国CPI意外回升：昨日美国公布的核心CPI月率、年率均高于预期，但核心CPI年率回落至两年半低位。降息预期仍然存疑，目前市场担心美联储下周点阵图将降息3次的预期减少1次。 
• 英央行行长贝利讲话：英国央行行长贝利今日凌晨最新发言表示，长期通胀预期变动不大，同时对第二轮通胀效应的担忧已减轻。市场目前预期英国央行将在在8月才会开始降息。重点关注今日英国GDP经济是否受到考考验。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（英镑兑美元日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标昨日在超买区域发出下跌信号，暗示空头力量短期占据上风。不过需要等待汇价进一步跌破昨日低点后才可关注做空机会。 
• 支撑价位：上行通道线和下行趋势线联合组成了支撑价位，阻碍汇价进一步下跌。同时下行趋势线一带也是蓝色33日均线附近，因此汇价若跌破该价位则英镑或将迎来贬值趋势。 

1小时图表分析 

（英镑兑美元1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 均线区间：短期均线组和绿色240周期均线联合组成了震荡区间，汇价短期或将在区间内调整。英镑整体趋势不断下行，若继续跌破区间则英镑将明确深度贬值趋势的到来。 
• 斐波那契回撤位：汇价目前处于反弹趋势中，上方50%斐波那契回撤位附近也是前期高点价位。因此英镑若能上破1.2820一带，则英镑反转趋势将大概率来临。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（英镑兑美元30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位1.2810， 
• 1.2810之上看涨，第一目标1.2830，第二目标1.2850 
• 1.2810之下看跌，第一目标1.2765，第二目标1.2745 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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