美联储明确政策条件，黄金技术性反弹 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 5月 2日的黄金深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 降息的条件：周四美联储公布最新利率决议，主席鲍威尔表示了明确的降息条件，劳动力市场显示出实质性的疲软或者通胀恢复去年的下降趋势。 
• 加息几率小：美联储主席鲍威尔称，目前政策是限制性的；下次政策利率调整不太可能是加息；若要加息，则需看到证据表明政策不足以将通胀降至目标水平。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（黄金的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标即将进入超卖区域，整体指标斜率开始放缓，暗示短期空头趋势或将稍作休息。 
• 均线支撑：金价在跌破支撑颈线后明确了多头趋势的结束，目前金价受阻于红色33日均线，若继续下破则看向黑色65日均线。反之，黄金短期视为继续反弹上行。 

1小时图表分析 

（黄金的1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在超卖区域发出多头信号，暗示金价下跌趋势结束。值得注意的是，快线即将接近50中位线，上涨趋势短期或将受阻。 

• 沃尔夫浪：黄金近期的下跌趋势疑似形成了沃尔夫浪，点4反弹至点1和点2之间。不过点5下跌目前不充分不能盲目判断下跌趋势终结。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（黄金的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位2307， 
• 2307之上看涨，第一目标2336，第二目标2346 
• 2307之下看跌，第一目标2295，第二目标2282 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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