看跌吞没出现，但比特币仍需注意反转 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 6月 19日的比特币深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美国零售销售数据:由于汽油和汽车价格下降影响了加油站和汽车经销商的收入，美国5月零售销售月率录得0.1%，低于预期的0.3%。4月数据从0%下修为-0.2%。 
• 委员们发言：美联储货币政策委员门昨日纷纷对外发言，均表示美联储仍然存在降息1次的概率。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（比特币的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标进入超卖区域暗示当前空头力量占据上风，等待指标脱离超卖区域后再关注是否存在顺势做空的机会。 
• 均线回踩：市价在完成回踩短期均线组后，昨日下跌跌破了周一的pin bar，因此后续存在开启下跌趋势的概率。值得注意的是当前市价遇阻前期上行趋势的50%斐波那契回撤位。 

4小时图表分析 

（比特币的4小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标还未进入超买区域，但是市价却已经跌破前期低点，行情或将走潜在的背离形态，短期有反弹甚至反转的概率。 
• 多空分界点：市价存在反弹概率，能否反转则关注65891.56，这是前期pin bar的高点。在昨日汇价跌破pin bar后，若今日再度站上高点，则市价或将迎来反转趋势。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（比特币的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位65360， 
• 65360之上看涨，第一目标66360，第二目标66960 
• 65360之下看跌，第一目标62860，第二目标62270 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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