欧元出现看跌吞没，关注下方支撑价位 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 7月 19日的欧元兑美元深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 美元短期强势：美国7月费城联储制造业指数高于预期，显示出美国经济强韧的迹象，美元指数创下自6月20日以来的最大单日涨幅。今日FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯将就货币政策发表讲话。此前他曾暗示如果近期通胀持续放缓，未来几个月可能有理由降息，不过不会在7月的美联储会议上降息。 

• 欧央行表态：欧洲央行昨日公布7月利率决议，维持利率不变并拒绝承诺未来利率路径。而拉加德称9月降息大门敞开，同时强调经济下行风险与内部通胀压力。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析 

（欧元兑美元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在超买区域震荡徘徊进一周后，昨日发出空头信号，暗示空头力量占据上风，短期汇价大概率将迎来下跌调整。 

• Price Action：昨日最终收盘价格在前高下方，可以视为周三的上涨为假突破。而汇价触及上行通道线上沿后出现看跌吞没结构，这是强烈的反转信号，关注下方的支撑区域。 

1小时图表分析 

（欧元兑美元的1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标超卖区域震荡纠缠，疑似即将发出多头信号，暗示空头力量短期占据下风。亚盘时段有一定概率汇价将出现反弹上升趋势。 

• 阻力区域：汇价在跌破下行通道线后可以明确欧元兑美元日内趋势为下跌趋势为主。因此值得关注上方阻力区域是否存在入场顺势做空机会。投资者值得关注黑色65周期均线附近，同时也是看跌订单块附近。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（欧元兑美元的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位1.0925， 

• 1.0925之上看涨，第一目标1.0945，第二目标1.0960 

• 1.0925之下看跌，第一目标1.0875，第二目标1.0860 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

See Full Bio