加元贬值趋势开启，今日CPI数据极为重要 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 7月 16日的美元兑加元深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 无新意的发言：纽约时间中午时段，美联储主席鲍威尔与凯雷集团联席执行董事长进行对话。由于鲍威尔基本上重复了一周前的主题，拒绝就利率变动的时机给出任何指引，鲍威尔措辞并未改变8月“按兵不动”预期，市场反应平淡。 

• 重要的加拿大CPI：下周三即将迎来加拿大央行利率决议，因此今日加拿大公布的6月CPI数据显得尤为重要。如通胀进一步放缓，则市场预计加拿大央行大概率将在下周降息。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析 

（美元兑加元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标上周在超卖区域发出多头信号，同时汇价终止跌势开始上涨，暗示多头力量占据上风，值得关注做多交易机会。 

• 阻力结构：sto指标在明确了多头信号后，汇价也重新站上均线组上方。更重要的是汇价突破了多重阻力，包括短期均线组、黑色多空转换水平线，红色的上升趋势线。等待汇价回踩均线组，寻找顺势做多机会。 

1小时图表分析 

（美元兑加元的4小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标进入超买区域后纠缠，暗示当前多头情绪或将放缓，后续即将开始调整。 

• Price Action：汇价在上周五出现了向下的假突破后，周一的上涨明确了反转开始。目前受阻于前期震荡区间上沿1.36870一带，等待突破后看向上方公允价值缺口FVG一带。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（美元兑加元的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位1.3649， 

• 1.3649之上看涨，第一目标1.3703，第二目标1.3717 

• 1.3649之下看跌，第一目标1.3625，第二目标1.3611 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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