加元或以计价降息预期，警惕“买预期卖事实” 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 7月 24日的美元兑加元深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 加拿大通胀下行：加拿大近期公布的6月CPI年率下降至2.7%，稳定下行的物价水平让今日加拿大央行降息的概率从82%上升至90%。 

• 警惕“买预期卖事实”：自加拿大公布6月cpi数据以来，加元贬值趋势就不断加速。当前汇价不排除已经充分计价加拿大央行的降息预期。因此警惕利率决定公布后出现“买预期卖事实”的假突破行情出现。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析 

（美元兑加元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标自7月12日在超卖区域发出多头信号后加速上行，按时短期多头趋势为主。目前快线与慢线指标均已经进入超买区域，警惕当前汇价上涨速率放缓。 

• 突破阻力：本周汇价均是拿掉卖方流动性后才继续完成上涨的趋势，此外基于昨日汇价是快速上涨至震荡区间的上沿。今日美元兑加元在亚盘略微回调后，有较大概率突破当前阻力价位1.37828附近。 

1小时图表分析 

（美元兑加元的1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标超买区域震荡纠缠，疑似即将发出空头信号，暗示多头力量短期占据下风。亚盘时段有一定概率汇价将出现回踩下跌趋势。 

• 支撑价位：亚盘时段汇价的回调目标看向昨日高点1.37751附近。第二目标则看向红色33周期均线附近。若汇价连续突破两个阻力位，则加元短期将迎来升值趋势。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（美元兑加元的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位1.3765， 

• 1.3765之上看涨，第一目标1.3800，第二目标1.3820 

• 1.3765之下看跌，第一目标1.3750，第二目标1.3735 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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