加元趋势纠结，加央行决议是关键 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 3月 6日的美元兑加元深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 加央行利率决议：加拿大央行将于周三公布最新利率决议，市场预期保持不变。加拿大通胀大幅度放缓，降息也将逐渐提上央行日程。投资者关注加拿大央行如何阐述夏季降息的可能性，若出现依旧鹰派的基调，则加元或将出现异常的升值趋势。 
• 油价短期疲软：尽管欧佩克+通过将石油供应削减延长到下一个季度，短期为原油价格提供了支撑。但是国际能源署的预测显示，若想避免陷入供给过剩，可能需要坚持全年的产量限制。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（美元兑加元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标跌跌撞撞进入超买区域，若汇价无法快速突破上方高点，则指标或将在超买区域形成空头信号。 
• 潜在沃尔夫浪：汇价形成潜在的沃尔夫浪，如图，点1和点3的连线短期压制汇价进一步上涨。但由于裸K上暂时没有明确的反转结构，暂时不轻易看空。 

1小时图表分析 

（美元兑加元的1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在50中位线下方发出多头信号，暗示短期多头占据上风。 
• 上升楔形：汇价自2月底以来开启震荡结构，低点不断抬升，高点始终受阻，形成了上升楔形。理论上价格会上破楔形阻力位，但价格若打破上升趋势线，则汇价或将迎来深度调整 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（美元兑加元的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位1.3570， 
• 1.3570之上看涨，第一目标1.3605，第二目标1.3620 
• 1.3570之下看跌，第一目标1.3555，第二目标1.3540 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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