日央行或调整负利率，日元升值在望 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 3月 19日的美元兑日元深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 日央行利率决议：今日日本央行利率决议即将公布，市场关注央行是否将终结负利率政策。若日央行仍然按兵不动，则日元抛售压力大增。 
• 日本通胀预期上涨：上周日本劳工薪资谈判最终争取到5.28%涨幅，这有效刺激未来通胀上涨趋势。日本央行是否将受到影响明确调整负利率政策，日元拭目以待。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（美元兑日元的日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标发出多头信号后，汇价强势反弹上行。目前快线接近50中位线，暗示当前反弹即将遇阻。 
• 阻力区间：美元兑日元价在黑色65日均线支撑下快速上涨，当前面对红色33日均线和绿色颈线联合组成的阻力价位。若汇价有效上破149.20附近，则整体反弹将转变为上涨趋势。 

1小时图表分析 

（美元兑日元的1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标进入超买区域后纠缠震荡，疑似发出空头信号，暗示当前汇价承压或将调整下行。 
• 上行通道线：3月11日以来美元兑日元开始上涨，整体趋势截止昨日形成上行通道线，目前汇价触及通道线上沿，该价位附近同时也是虚线200周期均线一带。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（美元兑日元的30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位148.60， 
• 148.60之上看涨，第一目标149.50，第二目标149.80 
• 148.60之下看跌，第一目标148.30，第二目标148.00 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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