趋势线若有效支撑，日元或将继续贬值 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 2月 7日美元兑日元的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 日本央行货币政策：市场目前预计日本央行将在2024年4月至10月退出负利率政策；2023财年无需急于购买日元债券，日元依旧处于长期升值的预期中。 
• 美联储货币政策：美日两国的货币政策差异在未来是明确加大的，因此如果美国利率在美联储首次降息的预期下继续走软，美元/日元的下行步伐可能会提前加快。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

（美元兑日元日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标上周在50中位线上方发出多头信号，但是昨日指标在超买区域附近即将纠缠，暗示多头短期即将放缓。 
• 突破回踩：汇价在上周强势突破下行趋势线后遇阻前高回调，昨日已经回踩至下行趋势线附近。147.40一带是较强支撑位，关注汇价今日是否将延续上涨趋势。 

1小时图表分析 

（美元兑日元1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在超卖区域纠缠震荡，暗示当前行情多空力量正处于博弈极端，汇价或以震荡为主。 
• 均线支撑：汇价昨日在筑顶完成后跌破颈线和33周期均线的联合支撑，下方目标即看向绿色200周期均线附近。等待汇价发出多头信号后，才能关注入场交易机会。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（美元兑日元30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位148.40， 
• 148.40之上看涨，第一目标148.80，第二目标149.10 
• 148.40之下看跌，第一目标147.40，第二目标147.00 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。  

Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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