原油利多消息频出，但反弹仍需警惕 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2024年 8月 8日WTI原油的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

• 潜在风险：昨日埃及、英国等国家先后发布了罕见且异常的禁飞警报，指示所有航空公司在周四时段避开伊朗领空3小时。这可能是伊朗大规模报复的潜在信号，中东地缘政治局势升级的担忧支撑油价上行。 

• EIA数据：EIA数据显示原油库存大减372.8万桶，为连续第六周下降，创自2022年1月以来最长连续下降记录，凸显出美国原油消费仍然坚挺。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析 

（WTI原油日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标在超卖区域发出多头信号，同时与油价形成底背离形态，暗示当前短期多头力量占据上风。需要警惕的是，指标仍在纠缠震荡，不能武断判断反转趋势来临。 

• 阻力价位：油价本周触及前期低点后开始上涨，下跌趋势暂时未被破坏，因此仍然以下跌预期为主。目前油价进入前期下跌公允价值缺口中间，关注是否存在受阻下跌迹象，若继续上破则关注红色33日均线。 

1小时图表分析 

（WTI原油1小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT4） 

• 随机震荡指标：指标脱离超买区域，纠缠震荡再度发出空头信号，暗示当前短期多空仍然处于博弈阶段。指标若仍然没有出现快速下跌迹象，则需要警惕油价仍然有继续上冲的概率。 

• 阻力压制：绿色200周期均线成为WTI原油关键的阻力价位，该价位附近也是上行通道线上沿一带。值得注意的是下方短期均线组发出了多头信号，油价的明确趋势方向需要油价突破任一方向的均线阻力后才可确认。 

Trading Central枢纽线指标 

（WTI原油30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets APP） 

• 根据Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central枢纽线指标，当日中枢价位74.40， 

• 74.40之上看涨，第一目标76.50，第二目标77.25 

• 74.40之下看跌，第一目标73.80，第二目标73.05 

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Willy

Willly is a skilled and experienced market analyst who has been analyzing financial markets for over 5 years. He currently serves as a Market Analyst at Ultima Markets, a leading financial services company. Willy brings a wealth of expertise in fundamental and technical analysis, having previously worked as Head of Financial Market Analyst at GCMAsia. There, he oversaw the research department and developed educational materials to build clients' financial knowledge. He also collaborated cross-functionally to amplify sales and achieve business goals. Prior to that role, Willy gained valuable experience as a Financial Market Analyst at the same company. He generated daily and weekly reports, conducted market briefings, and provided trading strategies through webinars. Read his latest market analyses on the Ultima Markets News & Analysis.

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